Draft programme for the RT2A & RT1 Meeting

Monday 13 June

9.30-9.45

Registration

9.45-11.10

Introduction session

9.45-9.55

Chris Hewitt: ENSEMBLES overview

9.55-10.05

James Murphy: Summary of RT1

10.05-10.15

Jean-Francois Royer: Summary of RT2A

10.15-10.25

Presentation from RT2B?

10.25-10.35

Ulrich Cubasch: The INTAS project

10.35-11.05

Tim Palmer: Representing modelling uncertainty in ensemble predictions from a season to a century ahead

11.05-11.10

Discussions

11.10-11.40

Coffee break

11.40-12.50

Seasonal to decadal simulations RT1

James Murphy: Decadal climate hindcasts from ensembles of HadCM3 integrations; initialisation, results and future plans

Francisco Doblas-Reyes: Seasonal to decadal ensemble hindcast experiments at ECMWF

Matt Huddleston: ENACT

12.50-14.00

Lunch

14.00-16.00

Seasonal to decadal simulations RT1 and RT2A

Noel Keenlyside: IFM-GEOMAR's progress in RT1

Olwijn Leeuwenburgh/Gerrit Burgers (KNMI): Ocean Initialisation with the Ensembles Kalman Filter

Philippe Rogel: Recent hindcasts using 3DVar ocean initial conditions and the ORCA-ARPEGE model (RT2A)

Michel Déqué: Predictability of ARPEGE since DEMETER (RT2A)

Discussions

16.00-16.30

Coffee break

16.30-18.00

Representing uncertainty in ensemble simulations of long term climate change

Mat Collins: Simulations of long term climate change using perturbed physics ensembles; designs, results and future plans

Claudio Piani: Constraints on climate change from a multi-thousand member ensemble of simulations

Discussions

Tuesday 14 June

9.00-11.10

Construction and testing of Earth system models (chaired by Marco Giorgetta)

Marco Giorgetta: Construction of Earth system models - Aims of WP1.1

Tim Johns: Progress report on development of the HadGEM Earth System Model

Jean-Louis Dufresne: ESM Development at IPSL?

Marco Giorgetta (MPIMET): Two configurations of the MPI-M Earth system model and their first Applications

M Vichi/E Manzini/P G Fogli: The INGV Earth System Model in ENSEMBLES - preliminary results

Shuting Yang: A description of the new high climate model DKCM to be used for very high resolution time slice simulation in ENSEMBLES

Dmitry Khvorostyanov (LGGE): Ice sheets and climate

Aurore Voldaire (CNRM): An ESM based on the coupling of CNRM-CM3 with IMAGE

Discussions

11.10-11.30

Coffee break

11.30-12.50

Multidecadal simulations (chaired by Eigil Kaas)

Eigil Kaas: Progress in RT2A2 20th Century Simulations

Erich Roeckner: 20th century simulations with the MPI model

Jean-Louis Dufresne: Historical runs in the IPSL model

Thomas Spangehl: Status of the modelling experiment at FUB

Gerrit Burgers/Matt Collins/Geert Jan van Oldenborgh/S.Y. Philip: El Niño in a changing climate – a multi-model study

Bjørg Rognerud: Oslo CTM2 – model calculations for the past and the future

12.50-14.00

Lunch

14.00-16.10

Multidecadal simulations (chaired by Ulrich Cubasch)

David Salas: Stream 1 simulations at CNRM

Tim Johns: Simulations of 20th and 21st century climate using HadGEM1

Erich Roeckner: 21st century simulations with the MPI model

Wilhelm May: DMI's simulation of the 20th and 21st century climate with the MPI model

Jean-Louis Dufresne: Role of the sulphate aerosols in the future scenarios in the IPSL model

Olivier Arzel (UCL-ASTR): Sea ice evolution over the 20th and 21st centuries as simulated by current AOGCMs

NERSC?

Discussions

16.10-16.40

Coffee break

16.30-18.00

Data storage (chaired by Francisco Doblas-Reyes)

Mat Collins: Data from the perturbed physics ensemble climate change runs

Antje Weisheimer/Francisco Doblas-Reyes: Data archiving and dissemination of the s2d experiments

Michael Lautenschlager: Data archiving and dissemination of climate change experiments

Discussions

Wednesday 15 June

9.00-11.00

Synthesis, preparation of the first year report and plans for the next 18 months (RT1 and RT2A separately)

1100-1130

Coffee break

11.30-12.45

General synthesis, Closure of the meeting (RT1 and RT2A together)